Lazio vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
INT
1 - 1
LAZ
67%
17%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ACL
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
LAZ
5 - 0
FIO
67%
18%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
ATL
0 - 0
LAZ
31%
21%
47%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
TOR
1 - 0
LAZ
57%
20%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
GEN
2 - 3
BOL
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
GEN
1 - 1
ROM
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
GEN
3 - 0
ASL
79%
13%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
ACM
2 - 2
GEN
54%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
GEN
1 - 3
BOL
55%
22%
22%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |