Lazio vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ATL
3 - 3
LAZ
48%
23%
29%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
LAZ
4 - 1
CTT
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2017 |
LAZ
1 - 3
TOR
60%
21%
19%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
ZUL
3 - 2
LAZ
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SAM
1 - 2
LAZ
36%
24%
40%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CRO
1 - 0
CHI
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SAS
2 - 1
CRO
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 3
UDI
37%
27%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2017 |
GEN
1 - 0
CRO
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
JUV
3 - 0
CRO
81%
14%
5%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |