Serie A Round 15

Lazio vs Catanzaro analysis

Lazio Catanzaro
80 ELO 69
-6.9% Tilt -9.9%
17º General ELO ranking 280º
Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
74.2%
Lazio
18.2%
Draw
7.6%
Catanzaro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
Lazio
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.9%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
7.6%
Win probability
Catanzaro
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lazio
-6%
-5%
Catanzaro

ELO progression

Lazio
Catanzaro
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jan. 1977
CES
Cesena
0 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
40%
29%
30%
80 75 5 0
16 Jan. 1977
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 1
Hellas Verona
VER
64%
22%
14%
80 74 6 0
09 Jan. 1977
TOR
Torino
3 - 3
Lazio
LAZ
74%
16%
9%
80 87 7 0
02 Jan. 1977
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 2
Milan
ACM
39%
26%
35%
80 85 5 0
19 Dec. 1976
GEN
Genoa
3 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
42%
28%
30%
81 69 12 -1

Matches

Catanzaro
Catanzaro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jan. 1977
FCC
Catanzaro
1 - 0
Milan
ACM
22%
27%
51%
67 85 18 0
16 Jan. 1977
GEN
Genoa
2 - 0
Catanzaro
FCC
70%
20%
10%
68 71 3 -1
09 Jan. 1977
FCC
Catanzaro
3 - 1
Calcio Foggia
USF
52%
29%
19%
67 68 1 +1
02 Jan. 1977
CES
Cesena
1 - 0
Catanzaro
FCC
63%
25%
12%
68 75 7 -1
19 Dec. 1976
VER
Hellas Verona
0 - 0
Catanzaro
FCC
71%
20%
9%
68 74 6 0