Lazio vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
26.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
TOR
2 - 2
LAZ
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1965 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ACM
16%
24%
60%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
USA
1 - 3
LAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
MES
4 - 0
LAZ
46%
29%
25%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ATL
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
VAR
1 - 4
BOL
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1965 |
INT
5 - 2
VAR
86%
10%
5%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
LEC
0 - 1
VAR
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
MAN
3 - 1
VAR
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
VAR
1 - 1
JUV
30%
25%
45%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |