Lazio vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
PAD
3 - 1
LAZ
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
ACM
5 - 0
LAZ
75%
14%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
LAZ
2 - 1
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
USA
0 - 2
LAZ
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
LAZ
1 - 3
ROM
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1958 |
BAR
1 - 2
VAR
49%
22%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
UDI
1 - 2
VAR
71%
15%
14%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
VAR
2 - 0
VIG
64%
17%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
VAR
4 - 2
UNI
67%
17%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
SER
1 - 0
VAR
29%
22%
49%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | -1 |