U17 National Championship Italy Group C Round 23

Lazio U17 vs Fiorentina U17 analysis

Lazio U17 Fiorentina U17
28 ELO 42
10.8% Tilt 15%
8459º General ELO ranking 7064º
267º Country ELO ranking 189º
ELO win probability
20%
Lazio U17
19.8%
Draw
60.2%
Fiorentina U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
Lazio U17
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
60.2%
Win probability
Fiorentina U17
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lazio U17
+21%
-28%
Fiorentina U17

Points and table prediction

Lazio U17
Their league position
Fiorentina U17
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
64
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fiorentina U17
64
64
100%
Empoli U17
58
58
100%
Roma U17
56
56
100%
Lazio U17
37
37
0%
Frosinone U17
37
37
0%
Palermo U17
35
35
100%
Salernitana U17
33
33
100%
SSC Bari U17
32
32
100%
Catanzaro U17
21
21
100%
Lecce U17
10º
20
20
10º
100%
Ascoli U17
11º
19
19
11º
100%
Nuova Cosenza U17
12º
17
17
12º
100%
Ternana Calcio U17
13º
16
16
13º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lazio U17
Fiorentina U17
Final Series
0% 100%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Possible next round
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Lazio U17
Fiorentina U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lazio U17
Lazio U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2024
SAL
Salernitana U17
2 - 1
Lazio U17
LAZ
8%
14%
78%
30 16 14 0
03 Mar. 2024
LAZ
Lazio U17
5 - 2
Ternana Calcio U17
TER
86%
10%
4%
29 18 11 +1
25 Feb. 2024
FRO
Frosinone U17
2 - 1
Lazio U17
LAZ
17%
18%
65%
30 21 9 -1
11 Feb. 2024
LAZ
Lazio U17
0 - 1
Palermo U17
PAL
78%
14%
9%
31 21 10 -1
04 Feb. 2024
BAR
SSC Bari U17
4 - 2
Lazio U17
LAZ
12%
17%
72%
33 21 12 -2

Matches

Fiorentina U17
Fiorentina U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2024
FIO
Fiorentina U17
2 - 0
Salernitana U17
SAL
90%
7%
3%
42 18 24 0
10 Mar. 2024
TER
Ternana Calcio U17
1 - 2
Fiorentina U17
FIO
7%
14%
80%
41 17 24 +1
03 Mar. 2024
FIO
Fiorentina U17
1 - 0
Frosinone U17
FRO
86%
10%
5%
41 22 19 0
25 Feb. 2024
PAL
Palermo U17
0 - 2
Fiorentina U17
FIO
9%
16%
75%
41 22 19 0
11 Feb. 2024
FIO
Fiorentina U17
2 - 1
SSC Bari U17
BAR
84%
11%
6%
41 23 18 0