Stade Lavallois II vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
12º
5º
28
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 79.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Lavallois II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LRO
0 - 0
LAV
49%
24%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LAV
1 - 1
FON
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 3
LAV
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LEM
0 - 0
LAV
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LAV
1 - 1
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SPG
3 - 0
CHA
49%
21%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LEM
4 - 2
SPG
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SPG
0 - 3
32%
22%
47%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ACP
4 - 0
SPG
58%
20%
23%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SPG
4 - 2
SAB
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |