Lavagnese vs Sestri Levante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+109%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
STR
1 - 1
LAV
13%
18%
69%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
LAV
2 - 3
SAN
20%
21%
59%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LAV
0 - 5
SAV
19%
22%
59%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FEZ
3 - 3
LAV
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LAV
3 - 2
LIG
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sestri Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SES
0 - 1
BOR
36%
27%
38%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
SES
50%
26%
24%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SES
2 - 4
FEZ
29%
23%
49%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -3 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MPO
1 - 0
SES
60%
23%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SES
2 - 0
FBC
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |