Serie D Group E Round 26

Lavagnese vs Ghivizzano Borgo analysis

Lavagnese Ghivizzano Borgo
43 ELO 35
-10% Tilt -12.5%
4717º General ELO ranking 32262º
164º Country ELO ranking 1049º
ELO win probability
65.2%
Lavagnese
19%
Draw
15.8%
Ghivizzano Borgo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
Lavagnese
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.8%
Win probability
Ghivizzano Borgo
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lavagnese
+147%
-24%
Ghivizzano Borgo

ELO progression

Lavagnese
Ghivizzano Borgo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lavagnese
Lavagnese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2017
ARG
Argentina SSD
1 - 1
Lavagnese
LAV
33%
28%
39%
42 39 3 0
19 Feb. 2017
LAV
Lavagnese
1 - 1
Ligorna
LIG
70%
17%
13%
43 31 12 -1
12 Feb. 2017
JMO
Jolly Montemurlo
1 - 1
Lavagnese
LAV
32%
28%
40%
43 38 5 0
08 Feb. 2017
LAV
Lavagnese
3 - 1
Ponsacco
MPO
52%
25%
23%
42 38 4 +1
29 Jan. 2017
MAS
Massese
2 - 0
Lavagnese
LAV
36%
27%
37%
44 39 5 -2

Matches

Ghivizzano Borgo
Ghivizzano Borgo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2017
GHI
Ghivizzano Borgo
2 - 0
Sanremese
SAN
20%
20%
60%
31 45 14 0
19 Feb. 2017
GAV
Follonica Gavorrano
3 - 2
Ghivizzano Borgo
GHI
78%
15%
8%
32 45 13 -1
15 Feb. 2017
SAV
Savona
1 - 1
Ghivizzano Borgo
GHI
74%
17%
9%
31 45 14 +1
12 Feb. 2017
GHI
Ghivizzano Borgo
1 - 2
Valdinievole Montecatini
VMO
32%
23%
46%
33 39 6 -2
29 Jan. 2017
GHI
Ghivizzano Borgo
2 - 1
Fezzanese
FEZ
58%
20%
22%
32 27 5 +1