OFC Champions . Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Lautoka vs Marist Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
23.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lautoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
DRA
1 - 2
LAU
56%
21%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 0
LAU
91%
7%
2%
|
32 | 69 | 37 | +17 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
VEN
1 - 2
LAU
47%
21%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
LAU
3 - 1
MAD
54%
19%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
LAU
2 - 1
SUV
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Marist Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
NFC
1 - 2
MAR
18%
18%
64%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
SOA
1 - 3
MAR
14%
17%
70%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | +11 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAG
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
TEA
3%
8%
89%
|
30 | 69 | 39 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MAL
0 - 1
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |