Launceston City vs South Hobart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
84.5%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
10%
1-4
6.5%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.5%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
4.3%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.6%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
2.4%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
8.3%
0-6
3%
1-7
1.1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
4.3%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.9%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.8%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Launceston City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
LAU
0 - 2
DEV
9%
14%
77%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
CLA
2 - 2
LAU
18%
18%
64%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
KIN
4 - 1
LAU
33%
20%
48%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 1
LAU
57%
19%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
LAU
1 - 0
OLY
13%
16%
71%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
SOU
5 - 0
NOR
90%
7%
3%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
DEV
73%
15%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 3
SOU
14%
15%
71%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
CLA
1 - 3
SOU
4%
9%
88%
|
37 | 8 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 1
HOB
69%
16%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |