Latina vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Latina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 0
LAT
82%
13%
5%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
TUR
1 - 0
LAT
46%
23%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
LAT
1 - 1
FCS
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
LAT
1 - 1
NOC
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
LAT
3 - 2
FOR
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PAG
4 - 4
MES
37%
27%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
USF
2 - 0
PAG
71%
18%
10%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
PAG
3 - 2
BIS
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
BIS
2 - 1
PAG
33%
28%
40%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
PAG
61%
22%
18%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |