Austrian Bundesliga Normal Season Round 1

LASK vs Sturm Graz analysis

LASK Sturm Graz
80 ELO 80
-3% Tilt 3.8%
593º General ELO ranking 561º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41.5%
LASK
25.4%
Draw
33.1%
Sturm Graz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
LASK
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.1%
Win probability
Sturm Graz
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
LASK
+18%
+6%
Sturm Graz

ELO progression

LASK
Sturm Graz
SV Ried
WSG Tirol
Rapid Wien
Austria Wien
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

LASK
LASK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jul. 2025
WIE
Wiener SC
0 - 4
LASK
LAS
16%
20%
65%
80 59 21 0
19 Jul. 2025
LAS
LASK
0 - 2
Union Berlin
FCU
16%
22%
63%
80 92 12 0
18 Jul. 2025
LAS
LASK
2 - 1
HNK Hajduk Split
HKS
40%
26%
34%
80 84 4 0
12 Jul. 2025
LAS
LASK
7 - 1
Trenčín
TRE
47%
24%
29%
80 78 2 0
09 Jul. 2025
BIF
Brøndby IF
1 - 0
LASK
LAS
57%
22%
22%
80 84 4 0

Matches

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jul. 2025
BIS
Bischofshofen
0 - 4
Sturm Graz
STR
11%
17%
73%
80 56 24 0
19 Jul. 2025
VOI
Voitsberg
0 - 3
Sturm Graz
STR
18%
20%
62%
80 65 15 0
19 Jul. 2025
STR
Sturm Graz
2 - 1
Hamburger SV
HSV
16%
19%
65%
80 89 9 0
12 Jul. 2025
STR
Sturm Graz
0 - 0
Polissya Zhytomyr
POL
40%
26%
34%
80 84 4 0
09 Jul. 2025
STR
Sturm Graz
1 - 1
Mladá Boleslav
MBO
37%
24%
40%
80 82 2 0