Irish Cup Northern Ireland Last 16

Larne vs Linfield analysis

Larne Linfield
70 ELO 71
-2.3% Tilt 0.2%
1522º General ELO ranking 1499º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41.3%
Larne
24.5%
Draw
34.3%
Linfield

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
Larne
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.3%
Win probability
Linfield
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Larne
Linfield
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Larne
Larne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2023
NEW
Newry City
0 - 0
Larne
LAR
14%
23%
62%
71 54 17 0
24 Jan. 2023
LAR
Larne
2 - 0
Portadown
POR
78%
16%
6%
71 46 25 0
21 Jan. 2023
LAR
Larne
0 - 0
Crusaders
CRU
42%
26%
32%
71 71 0 0
14 Jan. 2023
GLE
Glentoran
0 - 1
Larne
LAR
41%
26%
33%
71 68 3 0
07 Jan. 2023
LAR
Larne
3 - 0
Crumlin United FC
CRU
87%
9%
4%
70 12 58 +1

Matches

Linfield
Linfield
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2023
POR
Portadown
1 - 6
Linfield
LIN
7%
19%
74%
71 46 25 0
24 Jan. 2023
CRU
Crusaders
2 - 0
Linfield
LIN
48%
25%
27%
71 71 0 0
21 Jan. 2023
LIN
Linfield
3 - 0
Ballymena United
BAL
53%
25%
22%
71 66 5 0
14 Jan. 2023
GLE
Glenavon
1 - 6
Linfield
LIN
38%
26%
36%
71 65 6 0
10 Jan. 2023
CLI
Cliftonville
1 - 0
Linfield
LIN
45%
26%
29%
71 71 0 0