Larne vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
LOU
0 - 2
LAR
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
LIM
6 - 0
LAR
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
LAR
5 - 2
CRU
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
POR
3 - 0
LAR
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
LAR
2 - 0
OMA
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
INS
2 - 1
NEW
52%
24%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BAL
1 - 1
INS
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
INS
2 - 1
POR
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
LIN
3 - 1
INS
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
INS
1 - 1
ARD
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |