Larne vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
4º
2º
39
9º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
POR
2 - 0
LAR
48%
26%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
LIN
1 - 0
LAR
51%
25%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
LAR
0 - 1
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 2
LAR
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
LAR
1 - 1
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
GLE
3 - 1
CLI
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
GLE
0 - 2
DER
31%
25%
45%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CLI
3 - 2
GLE
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
GLE
2 - 1
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
DUN
2 - 3
GLE
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |