Larne vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
80
1º
7º
1º
55
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
LAR
9 - 1
KNO
87%
10%
3%
|
74 | 37 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 4
LAR
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 0
LAR
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
LAR
4 - 1
CAR
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 0
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
WAR
0 - 5
CRU
17%
19%
64%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
COL
0 - 4
CRU
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
CRU
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 0
GLE
66%
20%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
CRU
0 - 3
CLI
50%
24%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |