Non League Div One Southern S & W. Jor. 42

Larkhall Athletic vs Swindon Supermarine analysis

Larkhall Athletic Swindon Supermarine
31 ELO 30
-12.5% Tilt 13%
8666º General ELO ranking 6417º
455º Country ELO ranking 297º
ELO win probability
37.3%
Larkhall Athletic
24.6%
Draw
38.1%
Swindon Supermarine

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
Larkhall Athletic
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.1%
Win probability
Swindon Supermarine
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Larkhall Athletic
+29%
+7%
Swindon Supermarine

ELO progression

Larkhall Athletic
Swindon Supermarine
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Larkhall Athletic
Larkhall Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2017
YAT
Yate Town
2 - 2
Larkhall Athletic
LAR
26%
23%
51%
30 23 7 0
15 Apr. 2017
LAR
Larkhall Athletic
0 - 1
Didcot Town
DID
62%
21%
17%
31 21 10 -1
08 Apr. 2017
WIN
Winchester City
0 - 0
Larkhall Athletic
LAR
37%
23%
40%
31 27 4 0
01 Apr. 2017
LAR
Larkhall Athletic
1 - 0
Wimborne Town
WIM
60%
22%
18%
30 24 6 +1
25 Mar. 2017
SLI
Slimbridge
1 - 5
Larkhall Athletic
LAR
21%
19%
59%
30 21 9 0

Matches

Swindon Supermarine
Swindon Supermarine
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2017
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
5 - 0
Wantage Town
WAN
88%
9%
4%
31 13 18 0
15 Apr. 2017
SHO
Shortwood United
1 - 0
Swindon Supermarine
SWI
24%
22%
54%
32 22 10 -1
08 Apr. 2017
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
2 - 2
Tiverton Town
TIV
40%
24%
37%
32 37 5 0
01 Apr. 2017
YAT
Yate Town
1 - 2
Swindon Supermarine
SWI
20%
21%
59%
31 20 11 +1
25 Mar. 2017
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
0 - 1
Paulton Rovers
PAU
78%
14%
8%
32 21 11 -1
X