Larache vs Utrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.4%
12.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
REC
5 - 1
LCF
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
LCF
1 - 2
SFE
41%
21%
39%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
ILI
6 - 1
LCF
83%
10%
7%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
LCF
6 - 3
CAA
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +6 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
ILI
7 - 0
LCF
86%
9%
5%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
UTR
3 - 3
BET
33%
23%
45%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
ALG
3 - 0
UTR
92%
5%
3%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
UTR
2 - 1
EST
53%
21%
27%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |