Larache vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
MAG
4 - 2
LCF
79%
12%
9%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
LCF
1 - 0
XER
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +4 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
MAL
4 - 1
LCF
84%
10%
6%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
LCF
5 - 1
UTR
73%
14%
13%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
REC
5 - 1
LCF
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
RJA
3 - 4
BET
45%
22%
33%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
ALG
1 - 3
RJA
69%
16%
15%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
RJA
6 - 1
EST
78%
13%
10%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
GRA
0 - 2
RJA
48%
21%
31%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
RJA
2 - 1
CAD
59%
19%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |