Lancaster City vs Witton Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
41%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PRE
0 - 1
LAN
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
SAL
0 - 2
LAN
32%
24%
43%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 0
CAM
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
RAD
0 - 1
LAN
19%
22%
59%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SKE
1 - 1
LAN
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Witton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
WIT
4 - 1
WOS
58%
21%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
WIT
2 - 2
PRE
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
WIT
4 - 1
DUR
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 6
WIT
12%
20%
68%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
OSS
0 - 1
WIT
18%
23%
59%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |