Lancaster City vs Trafford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CUR
4 - 1
LAN
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
SKE
3 - 1
LAN
56%
22%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 1
FAR
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
LAN
5 - 1
WAR
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
MOS
1 - 3
LAN
27%
24%
50%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Trafford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
TRA
4 - 0
HAR
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
WAR
1 - 1
TRA
37%
24%
38%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
TRA
7 - 0
WAK
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
OSS
0 - 8
TRA
25%
22%
53%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
TRA
4 - 1
RAD
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +2 |