Lancaster City vs Harrogate Railway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
LAN
0 - 2
SAL
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
OSS
2 - 1
LAN
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
DRO
2 - 0
LAN
40%
22%
39%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
LAN
4 - 1
BUR
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
OSS
2 - 2
LAN
10%
16%
74%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Harrogate Railway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 1
NOR
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
HAR
4 - 0
OSS
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 4
HAR
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
RAD
4 - 3
HAR
35%
24%
42%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
HAR
3 - 0
SCA
32%
22%
46%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |