Greek Super League Normal Season Round 22

Lamia vs Asteras Tripolis analysis

Lamia Asteras Tripolis
68 ELO 69
3% Tilt -15.3%
2265º General ELO ranking 793º
23º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
44.7%
Lamia
27.3%
Draw
28%
Asteras Tripolis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
Lamia
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.1%
Win probability
Asteras Tripolis
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lamia
-29%
+1%
Asteras Tripolis

Points and table prediction

Lamia
Their league position
Asteras Tripolis
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
10º
31
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PAOK
60
60
100%
AEK Athens
59
59
100%
Olympiacos
57
57
100%
Panathinaikos
56
56
100%
Aris Thessaloniki
42
42
100%
Lamia
34
34
100%
Asteras Tripolis
31
31
100%
Atromitos
28
28
100%
Panserraikos
27
27
100%
OFI
10º
25
25
10º
100%
Panetolikos
11º
20
20
11º
0%
Volos NFC
12º
20
20
12º
0%
Kifisia
13º
19
19
13º
100%
PAS Giannina
14º
18
18
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Lamia
Asteras Tripolis
Play-offs for the title
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%

ELO progression

Lamia
Asteras Tripolis
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lamia
Lamia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2024
GIA
PAS Giannina
1 - 4
Lamia
LAM
45%
28%
27%
67 67 0 0
27 Jan. 2024
PGE
Panetolikos
1 - 2
Lamia
LAM
46%
27%
27%
66 64 2 +1
20 Jan. 2024
LAM
Lamia
4 - 1
Kifisia
KIF
56%
24%
20%
65 59 6 +1
13 Jan. 2024
LAM
Lamia
0 - 2
Panserraikos
PAN
55%
25%
20%
66 62 4 -1
08 Jan. 2024
OFI
OFI
1 - 1
Lamia
LAM
61%
23%
16%
65 69 4 +1

Matches

Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2024
AEK
AEK Athens
4 - 2
Asteras Tripolis
TRI
72%
18%
9%
70 83 13 0
28 Jan. 2024
TRI
Asteras Tripolis
3 - 1
Atromitos
ATR
35%
27%
38%
69 74 5 +1
21 Jan. 2024
PAN
Panathinaikos
2 - 0
Asteras Tripolis
TRI
68%
21%
11%
69 83 14 0
14 Jan. 2024
TRI
Asteras Tripolis
1 - 0
Volos NFC
VNF
53%
25%
22%
68 64 4 +1
10 Jan. 2024
PAN
Panserraikos
1 - 1
Asteras Tripolis
TRI
34%
25%
40%
68 61 7 0