Lamego vs Carregal do Sal analysis


13	ELO	17
2.9%	Tilt	-4.4%
19846º	General ELO ranking	25094º
315º	Country ELO ranking	630º
ELO win probability

22.9%

Lamego

21.9%

Draw

55.2%

Carregal do Sal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

22.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%

21.9%

Draw

0-0

4.3%

1-1

10%

2-2

5.8%

3-3

1.5%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

21.9%

55.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+74%

+16%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lamego

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
21 Sep. 2014	PEN 1 - 0 LAM 81% 13% 6%	12	31	19	0
14 Sep. 2014	LAM 2 - 3 FAV 50% 22% 28%	13	13	0	-1
11 Mar. 2012	LAM 1 - 2 GRI 18% 23% 59%	14	29	15	-1
04 Mar. 2012	SPO 2 - 0 LAM 67% 19% 14%	14	18	4	0
26 Feb. 2012	LAM 2 - 2 INF 16% 21% 64%	14	28	14	0