Lamego vs Alpendorada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lamego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
LAM
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LAM
1 - 1
REB
21%
23%
56%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 1
LAM
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
GRI
3 - 0
LAM
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LAM
2 - 0
SPO
22%
23%
55%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ALP
2 - 1
LEC
13%
22%
65%
|
16 | 53 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 0
ALP
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ALP
1 - 2
CES
14%
20%
66%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SOU
3 - 0
ALP
80%
14%
7%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ALP
0 - 3
REB
26%
24%
50%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |