Lake Macquarie vs New Lambton Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
67.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
8º
12º
12º
15
9º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lake Macquarie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
LAK
0 - 2
VAL
6%
13%
81%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
LAK
1 - 3
ADR
11%
15%
74%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
CHU
4 - 1
LAK
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
BRO
3 - 1
LAK
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 40 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LAM
4 - 0
LAK
90%
8%
3%
|
8 | 47 | 39 | -1 |
Matches
New Lambton Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
CHU
1 - 2
NLE
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
NLE
1 - 1
LAM
9%
14%
77%
|
11 | 48 | 37 | +5 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
NLE
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NLE
0 - 1
CHA
11%
16%
73%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
BRO
5 - 1
NLE
88%
8%
4%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | 0 |