Tercera División RFEF IV - Basque Country Round 26

CD Lagun Onak vs Leioa analysis

CD Lagun Onak Leioa
28 ELO 37
-19.5% Tilt -26%
7670º General ELO ranking 6283º
354º Country ELO ranking 244º
ELO win probability
28.9%
CD Lagun Onak
24.9%
Draw
46.1%
Leioa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
CD Lagun Onak
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
46.1%
Win probability
Leioa
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Lagun Onak
-48%
-29%
Leioa

Points and table prediction

CD Lagun Onak
Their league position
Leioa
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
14º
12º
57
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Barakaldo
75
78
100%
CD Vitoria
57
60
100%
Leioa
57
57
100%
CD Basconia
51
54
100%
Deusto
46
46
100%
Portugalete
41
42
100%
SCD Durango
37
37
57.5%
Pasaia KE
36
36
19%
Anaitasuna FT
34
35
13.5%
Aurrera KE
10º
34
35
10º
24%
Urduliz FT
11º
33
34
11º
35.5%
CD Lagun Onak
13º
30
33
12º
53.5%
CD Padura
12º
31
31
13º
46%
CD Touring
14º
29
30
14º
57%
San Ignacio
15º
26
27
15º
82.5%
CD Aurrera Vitoria
16º
12
12
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
CD Lagun Onak
Leioa
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

CD Lagun Onak
Leioa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Lagun Onak
CD Lagun Onak
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 2023
POR
Portugalete
1 - 0
CD Lagun Onak
LON
48%
26%
26%
30 32 2 0
11 Mar. 2023
LON
CD Lagun Onak
2 - 6
Pasaia KE
PAS
60%
23%
17%
31 23 8 -1
04 Mar. 2023
SAN
San Ignacio
0 - 4
CD Lagun Onak
LON
42%
26%
32%
30 26 4 +1
25 Feb. 2023
LON
CD Lagun Onak
1 - 1
CD Vitoria
CDV
23%
25%
52%
30 39 9 0
18 Feb. 2023
BAS
CD Basconia
1 - 1
CD Lagun Onak
LON
63%
21%
16%
29 34 5 +1

Matches

Leioa
Leioa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2023
LEI
Leioa
2 - 1
Urduliz FT
URD
68%
18%
14%
35 27 8 0
11 Mar. 2023
BAR
Barakaldo
3 - 1
Leioa
LEI
69%
19%
12%
36 45 9 -1
04 Mar. 2023
LEI
Leioa
3 - 1
Deusto
DEU
48%
23%
29%
35 36 1 +1
25 Feb. 2023
CDT
CD Touring
3 - 0
Leioa
LEI
20%
22%
58%
37 22 15 -2
18 Feb. 2023
LEI
Leioa
3 - 0
CD Aurrera Vitoria
AUR
79%
13%
8%
36 21 15 +1