GD Lagoa vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
48.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
14º
8º
23
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GD Lagoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LAG
3 - 2
CIN
53%
21%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
LAG
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 0
COI
6%
12%
82%
|
24 | 68 | 44 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 2
EVN
23%
20%
58%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
MON
0 - 4
LAG
8%
14%
78%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ALE
2 - 0
OPE
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
OPE
0 - 4
SER
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 0
OPE
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MOU
1 - 2
OPE
13%
19%
69%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ABR
0 - 2
OPE
13%
17%
70%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |