1ª AF Algarve Round 33

GD Lagoa vs 11 Esperanças analysis

GD Lagoa 11 Esperanças
24 ELO 16
-3.3% Tilt 2%
7924º General ELO ranking 25692º
181º Country ELO ranking 442º
ELO win probability
72.1%
GD Lagoa
16.1%
Draw
11.8%
11 Esperanças

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
GD Lagoa
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.8%
Win probability
11 Esperanças
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

GD Lagoa
11 Esperanças
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

GD Lagoa
GD Lagoa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 May. 2015
FAR
Farense B
3 - 2
GD Lagoa
LAG
29%
23%
48%
25 20 5 0
09 May. 2015
LAG
GD Lagoa
11 - 0
Mexilhoeira Grande
MEG
87%
10%
3%
25 7 18 0
02 May. 2015
IMO
Imortal DC
1 - 5
GD Lagoa
LAG
62%
20%
19%
23 25 2 +2
25 Apr. 2015
LAG
GD Lagoa
2 - 2
Guia
GUI
73%
16%
11%
24 16 8 -1
18 Apr. 2015
SIL
Silves
1 - 3
GD Lagoa
LAG
9%
16%
75%
24 9 15 0

Matches

11 Esperanças
11 Esperanças
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 May. 2015
ESP
11 Esperanças
5 - 1
Monchiquense
MON
78%
14%
8%
16 10 6 0
09 May. 2015
ESP
11 Esperanças
1 - 1
Farense B
FAR
32%
24%
45%
16 20 4 0
02 May. 2015
MEG
Mexilhoeira Grande
0 - 5
11 Esperanças
ESP
16%
19%
65%
16 9 7 0
25 Apr. 2015
ESP
11 Esperanças
5 - 3
Imortal DC
IMO
10%
17%
73%
12 27 15 +4
18 Apr. 2015
GUI
Guia
2 - 0
11 Esperanças
ESP
61%
19%
20%
13 15 2 -1