La Guia vs Racing Castrelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
38.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CUN
1 - 0
LGU
62%
20%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
LGU
1 - 2
CAN
56%
21%
24%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
LGU
0 - 0
MAR
41%
23%
37%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAM
4 - 2
LGU
28%
24%
49%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
LGU
1 - 0
ALE
23%
22%
56%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 4
MAR
45%
23%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAM
1 - 0
CAS
32%
24%
45%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 2
ALE
37%
24%
39%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
USD
2 - 2
CAS
17%
20%
63%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 2
UDE
57%
21%
22%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |