La Guia vs Caselas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
28.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MAT
1 - 1
LGU
31%
24%
46%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
LGU
3 - 1
ZAC
78%
14%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 0
LGU
16%
20%
65%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
LGU
4 - 0
AMA
49%
22%
29%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
LGU
40%
23%
37%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caselas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 3
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 1
CAS
36%
25%
39%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 0
ALE
36%
23%
41%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
USD
2 - 3
CAS
16%
21%
64%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
4 - 1
UDE
65%
19%
17%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |