La Fresneda vs La Guía Norte Astur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fresneda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SIE
1 - 1
FRE
29%
24%
48%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 0
LLA
51%
22%
27%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
GOZ
1 - 0
FRE
34%
24%
42%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
FRE
3 - 0
BAR
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 2
FRE
41%
24%
35%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
La Guía Norte Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
GUI
3 - 0
POD
29%
23%
48%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 4
GUI
39%
24%
37%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 4
HIS
40%
23%
37%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 2
GUI
60%
20%
20%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 0
MIR
37%
23%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +1 |