Kuressaare vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
46.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
10º
8º
14
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 70 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 67 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 66 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 63 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 61 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 46 |
6º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 41 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 36 |
8º
|
37.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 33 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 26 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 96% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
TRA
0 - 2
KUR
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
KUR
1 - 2
PAI
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
TAL
4 - 0
KUR
45%
23%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
VJK
0 - 1
KUR
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
TRA
1 - 1
KUR
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
HJP
2 - 0
TAL
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
LEV
5 - 0
HJP
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
HJP
2 - 0
VAL
40%
22%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
HJP
2 - 2
EPF
85%
11%
5%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
HJP
3 - 2
NOM
68%
17%
15%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |