Kuressaare vs FC Flora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
62.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
8º
7º
79
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 4
PAI
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 2
KUR
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TAL
0 - 3
KUR
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
KUR
2 - 0
KAL
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 1
KUR
31%
28%
42%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2023 |
FLO
1 - 0
TAM
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FLO
3 - 1
KAL
66%
20%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
TAM
0 - 3
FLO
10%
19%
71%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 3
FLO
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 2
LEV
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |