Kumla vs Haga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
5º
13º
9º
17
11º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 55 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 48 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 46 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 45 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 43 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 39 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 33 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 32 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 30 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
12º
|
38.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 23 |
13º
|
56.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 15 |
14º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 33% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 28.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kumla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
IKT
1 - 1
KUM
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
KUM
1 - 2
VFK
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 2
KUM
13%
17%
71%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
KUM
1 - 2
SFC
84%
10%
6%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2025 |
MOT
1 - 2
KUM
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Haga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
IFH
1 - 3
FBK
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
KON
0 - 2
IFH
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
IFH
2 - 1
TFC
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
LID
4 - 0
IFH
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
IFH
0 - 2
HER
18%
19%
63%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -2 |