Kumla vs Herrestads AIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
5º
13º
9º
26
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 49 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 44 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 36 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 35 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 34 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 30 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 17 |
13º
|
49.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 16 |
14º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 11.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 18% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 70.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kumla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
LID
1 - 0
KUM
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
KUM
1 - 1
TFC
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
KUM
2 - 4
AIF
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
IFH
2 - 3
KUM
22%
20%
58%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
KUM
1 - 3
MOT
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
HER
0 - 4
KON
33%
24%
43%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
AIF
2 - 0
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FBK
2 - 3
HER
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
HER
3 - 3
VAN
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
STE
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |