Kumla vs Ahlafors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
5º
13º
10º
25
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 56 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 48 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 46 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 45 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 45 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 39 |
6º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 33 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 30 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 30 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 23 |
13º
|
57.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 15 |
14º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kumla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
IFH
2 - 3
KUM
21%
20%
59%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
KUM
1 - 3
MOT
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VFK
0 - 4
KUM
38%
23%
39%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LID
1 - 3
KUM
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KUM
2 - 0
SKO
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +4 |
Matches
Ahlafors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
AIF
0 - 0
LID
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SKS
2 - 1
AIF
15%
17%
69%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
AIF
2 - 0
VAN
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BKF
1 - 1
AIF
25%
22%
53%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
GAU
4 - 4
AIF
15%
17%
68%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -1 |