Kukësi vs Vllaznia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
26.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
5º
10º
7º
50
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kukësi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TIR
4 - 1
KUK
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
KUK
0 - 1
EGN
63%
23%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
ERZ
0 - 2
KUK
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
KUK
2 - 0
LFC
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KUK
2 - 0
BYL
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VLZ
2 - 2
ERZ
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
VLZ
2 - 1
BYL
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LAÇ
1 - 1
VLZ
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
VLZ
3 - 0
FLA
75%
16%
8%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
VLZ
1 - 2
PAR
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |