Excelsior Mariakerke vs Berlare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
22.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
15º
13º
43
1º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
92% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
40.5% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
75% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 37 |
13º
|
94.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mariakerke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
HAA
1 - 1
KSC
45%
22%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
KSC
2 - 3
KVV
39%
22%
40%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
KSK
4 - 0
KSC
74%
18%
9%
|
24 | 72 | 48 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
KSC
2 - 2
DEN
46%
21%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ARD
0 - 2
KSC
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Berlare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BER
2 - 2
DEN
32%
21%
47%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BER
1 - 2
KTB
21%
20%
59%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SOT
4 - 1
BER
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BER
3 - 4
KHZ
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
KVV
2 - 0
BER
59%
19%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |