Challenge League Round 4

SC Kriens vs Winterthur analysis

SC Kriens Winterthur
52 ELO 56
0.4% Tilt 10.3%
2271º General ELO ranking 672º
26º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
38%
SC Kriens
24.6%
Draw
37.3%
Winterthur

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
SC Kriens
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.3%
Win probability
Winterthur
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SC Kriens
+21%
+7%
Winterthur

ELO progression

SC Kriens
Winterthur
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC Kriens
SC Kriens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2011
WIL
FC Wil
1 - 1
SC Kriens
KRI
60%
22%
18%
53 61 8 0
29 Jul. 2011
CHI
Chiasso
2 - 1
SC Kriens
KRI
45%
26%
29%
53 55 2 0
22 Jul. 2011
KRI
SC Kriens
2 - 4
Biel-Bienne
BIE
38%
26%
36%
54 58 4 -1
25 May. 2011
CHI
Chiasso
0 - 0
SC Kriens
KRI
43%
26%
31%
54 55 1 0
21 May. 2011
KRI
SC Kriens
1 - 3
FC Wil
WIL
37%
27%
36%
56 60 4 -2

Matches

Winterthur
Winterthur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2011
WIN
Winterthur
0 - 1
St. Gallen
STG
21%
23%
57%
55 70 15 0
01 Aug. 2011
FCV
FC Vaduz
2 - 2
Winterthur
WIN
63%
20%
17%
55 62 7 0
23 Jul. 2011
WIN
Winterthur
1 - 2
Aarau
FCA
46%
24%
30%
56 58 2 -1
25 May. 2011
WIL
FC Wil
2 - 1
Winterthur
WIN
53%
23%
24%
57 61 4 -1
21 May. 2011
WIN
Winterthur
1 - 0
Biel-Bienne
BIE
41%
25%
35%
56 59 3 +1