Kray vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
64.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
WEG
4 - 2
KRA
39%
23%
39%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
KRA
1 - 3
WAT
21%
23%
57%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ERN
4 - 0
KRA
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -3 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ROD
1 - 1
KRA
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
KRA
1 - 4
DIE
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 4
ROT
25%
25%
49%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
S04
1 - 1
VEL
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 0
AAA
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
RWA
1 - 2
VEL
19%
20%
62%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 0
SPO
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |