Legia Warszawa vs Pogon Szczecin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
WAR
1 - 0
GÓR
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
WAR
2 - 1
PLO
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
GKS
0 - 3
WAR
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
WAR
4 - 1
POL
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
WIS
2 - 0
WAR
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Pogon Szczecin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
OWD
1 - 0
POG
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
POG
1 - 1
CRA
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
ZAL
2 - 2
POG
58%
23%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
POG
1 - 0
AMI
35%
26%
40%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
POG
2 - 1
GOR
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |