Kozarmisleny vs Budapesti Vasas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
54.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
9º
16º
9º
9
1º
14º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
5º
|
9 | 59 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 54 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 54 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 52 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 50 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 47 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 47 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 43 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
|
16º
|
2 | 35 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 35 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 35 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 32 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 31 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 30 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 29 |
15º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 28 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 63% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 37% |
|
Relegation
|
13.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kozarmisleny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
SZE
1 - 0
KOZ
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
KOZ
1 - 1
SOR
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
MEZ
2 - 0
KOZ
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
SZE
1 - 1
KOZ
45%
25%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
KOZ
0 - 2
TIS
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Budapesti Vasas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2025 |
VAS
1 - 0
TIS
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
KAR
1 - 0
VAS
11%
19%
71%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2025 |
VAS
4 - 3
BEK
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2025 |
KTE
1 - 2
VAS
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
VAS
1 - 4
CSA
75%
16%
8%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | -1 |