AEP Kozani vs Thesprotos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
22.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEP Kozani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ETH
0 - 1
KOZ
50%
25%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
KOZ
5 - 1
KER
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
KAS
1 - 1
KOZ
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
KOZ
1 - 1
ODY
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
DOX
0 - 2
KOZ
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Thesprotos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
THE
1 - 0
OIK
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
THE
0 - 1
LAR
29%
28%
44%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
KAM
1 - 2
THE
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
THE
3 - 0
TIL
74%
16%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
DOX
1 - 3
THE
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |