Kottern vs VfR Garching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
52.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
DAC
2 - 2
KOT
53%
21%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
KOT
1 - 1
LAN
40%
23%
37%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
UNT
1 - 1
KOT
61%
20%
20%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
KOT
0 - 0
VIL
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BOG
3 - 3
KOT
49%
23%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
VRG
1 - 1
KIR
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
HAH
1 - 0
VRG
15%
19%
66%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VRG
1 - 1
RUH
88%
9%
3%
|
37 | 9 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
PUL
0 - 0
VRG
30%
22%
48%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
VRG
5 - 0
HEI
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |