Kose vs Joker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.3%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
79.9%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.8%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
POS
3 - 2
KOS
89%
8%
4%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
PAI
8 - 0
KOS
96%
4%
1%
|
13 | 52 | 39 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
KOS
0 - 8
TUL
8%
15%
77%
|
15 | 51 | 36 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
HJP
7 - 1
KOS
94%
5%
1%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
KOS
3 - 4
PAR
26%
19%
55%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Joker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
JOK
5 - 1
VJK
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
PIR
2 - 2
JOK
29%
21%
50%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
FLO
0 - 2
JOK
13%
16%
70%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
SJL
0 - 1
JOK
71%
15%
14%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
JOK
7 - 0
JKP
92%
6%
2%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |