Koninklijke HFC vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Koninklijke HFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
KON
3 - 2
EIN
19%
21%
60%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TIE
2 - 3
KON
33%
25%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
KON
2 - 0
AFC
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VVS
2 - 1
KON
57%
23%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
KON
1 - 1
EVV
59%
23%
19%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
USV
2 - 1
HBS
42%
23%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
HSC
0 - 0
USV
60%
20%
20%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
USV
2 - 1
MAG
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TIE
1 - 1
USV
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
USV
2 - 2
NOO
54%
23%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |