Köln U19 vs Theesen U19 analysis


29	ELO	10
4.5%	Tilt	13.1%
9675º	General ELO ranking	38826º
471º	Country ELO ranking	1547º
ELO win probability

86.2%

Köln U19

9.8%

Draw

4%

Theesen U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

86.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%

9.8%

Draw

0-0

2.8%

1-1

4.6%

2-2

1.9%

3-3

0.4%

4-4

<0%

0

9.8%

4%

Win probability

0.55

Expected goals

0-1

1.5%

1-2

1.3%

2-3

0.3%

3-4

0%

-1

3.2%

0-2

0.4%

1-3

0.2%

2-4

0%

-2

0.7%

0-3

0.1%

1-4

0%

-3

0.1%

0-4

0%

-4

<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Köln U19

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
25 Aug. 2013	WUP 2 - 2 KOL 11% 17% 72%	30	13	17	0
18 Aug. 2013	KOL 3 - 0 DUI 77% 14% 8%	30	18	12	0
11 Aug. 2013	BON 1 - 1 KOL 25% 23% 52%	30	23	7	0
12 May. 2013	ESS 1 - 1 KOL 17% 20% 63%	32	20	12	-2
05 May. 2013	KOL 4 - 3 MON 21% 22% 57%	30	41	11	+2