Köln Sub 19 vs MSV Duisburg Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
KOL
1 - 1
ARM
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
SCH
3 - 0
KOL
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
KOL
3 - 2
ALA
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
KOL
4 - 0
SGW
75%
17%
9%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
BON
0 - 7
KOL
13%
19%
68%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
BON
1 - 2
DUI
22%
23%
55%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
DUI
3 - 0
ESS
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
MON
3 - 0
DUI
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
DUI
1 - 1
LEV
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
RWA
1 - 4
DUI
53%
23%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |